Major Financial Crisis
M3 Money Supply
History of interest cycle
Fed Funds Rate History: Its Highs, Lows, and Charts
https://www.thebalance.com/fed-funds-rate-history-highs-lows-3306135
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Fed Chair Ben Bernanke (February 2006-January 2014)
Note:
The Fed kept the rate at zero between 2008 and 2015. The recession ended in June 2009.
Fed Chair Janet Yellen (February 2014-February 2018)
In 2015, Dec. 17 - 0.50%
in 2016, Dec. 15 - 0.75%
Fed Chair Jerome Powell (Since February 2018)
in 2018, Dec. 20 - 2.50%, Fed promised to stop raising rates
In 2019, Sept. 19 - 2.00%, Fed was concerned about slowing growth
Bitcoin annualised return
Noteable crisis in 2014 and 2018
2014 - Ebola global slow down.
2018 - Inflation crisis, Trade war and rising rate.
放假想整理一下月供BTC既理念
由BTC出世個一年開始有兩年係negative return
2014 同 2018
由2013 taper 到2014 Ebola都係升升升…
S&P大回調個幾次都係兇多吉少
不過最尾都可以高收
美國加息 not quite correlated
睇返月供BTC return.
2021 - 係30%
2020 - 開始已經係250%
2019 - 3年前係452%
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